Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.719023 5.642363 6.669409 7.892317 9.304342 10.878987 12.763137
2025-02-16 3.261814 4.406356 5.813040 7.651954 9.973363 12.785876 16.428072
2025-02-23 2.332413 3.508399 5.084139 7.312693 10.339586 14.258416 19.657350
2025-03-02 1.714554 2.844286 4.479959 6.958319 10.542218 15.447827 22.559998
2025-03-09 1.368993 2.476843 4.193108 6.951547 11.155917 17.181358 26.287098
2025-03-16 1.119948 2.196412 3.970824 6.978312 11.780961 18.945486 30.167011
2025-03-23 0.921043 1.951474 3.752763 6.960564 12.306724 20.576867 33.951694
2025-03-30 0.723523 1.661223 3.402252 6.661472 12.329294 21.415537 36.575416
2025-04-06 0.606273 1.496867 3.241841 6.654998 12.813477 22.993013 40.432647
2025-04-13 0.506077 1.343064 3.072028 6.600737 13.196351 24.418908 44.129509
2025-04-20 0.464132 1.307110 3.124940 6.963853 14.343197 27.188948 50.193176
2025-04-27 0.415818 1.244808 3.112456 7.194473 15.263446 29.630194 55.854486
2025-05-04 0.378624 1.203703 3.143512 7.525955 16.422857 32.605834 62.681422
2025-05-11 0.321672 1.097044 3.012006 7.504919 16.905130 34.418220 67.624690
2025-05-18 0.259997 0.959196 2.782561 7.240478 16.875536 35.291910 70.962239
2025-05-25 0.206543 0.827655 2.541399 6.911631 16.672735 35.815248 73.685844
2025-06-01 0.177013 0.761039 2.450641 6.912499 17.150613 37.652519 78.913338
2025-06-08 0.153018 0.704928 2.376673 6.941710 17.688262 39.636522 84.523641
2025-06-15 0.131009 0.648098 2.289375 6.924911 18.119872 41.434806 89.878311
2025-06-22 0.104403 0.563067 2.102613 6.627429 17.886416 41.872174 92.629035
2025-06-29 0.089656 0.519751 2.031507 6.621079 18.319827 43.699012 98.192513
2025-07-06 0.076033 0.475385 1.947480 6.567089 18.633278 45.291953 103.373455
2025-07-13 0.072358 0.475707 2.009748 6.928622 19.980715 49.158152 113.323644